Grid-Stat: Compute Anomaly Correlation using Climatology

model_applications/medium_range/GridStat_fcstGFS_obsGFS _climoNCEP_MultiField.conf

Scientific Objective

To provide useful statistical information on the relationship between observation data in gridded format to a gridded forecast. These values can be used to help correct model deviations from observed values.

Datasets

Forecast: GFS
Observation: GFS
climotology: NCEP
Location: Click here for the METplus releases page and download sample data for the appropriate release: https://github.com/dtcenter/METplus/releases
This tarball should be unpacked into the directory that you will set the value of INPUT_BASE. See Running METplus section for more information.
Data Source: Unknown

METplus Components

This use case utilizes the METplus GridStat wrapper to search for files that are valid at a given run time and generate a command to run the MET tool grid_stat if all required files are found. Then StatAnalysis is run on the GridStat output.

METplus Workflow

GridStat and StatAnalysis are the tools called in this example. It processes the following run times:

Valid: 2017-06-13 0Z
Forecast lead: 24 hour

Valid: 2017-06-13 0Z
Forecast lead: 48 hour

Valid: 2017-06-13 6Z
Forecast lead: 24 hour

Valid: 2017-06-13 6Z
Forecast lead: 48 hour

METplus Configuration

METplus first loads all of the configuration files found in parm/metplus_config, then it loads any configuration files passed to METplus via the command line with the -c option, i.e. -c parm/use_cases/model_applications/medium_range/GridStat_fcstGFS_obsGFS_climoNCEP_MultiField.conf

[config]

# Documentation for this use case can be found at
# https://metplus.readthedocs.io/en/latest/generated/model_applications/medium_range/GridStat_fcstGFS_obsGFS_climoNCEP_MultiField.html

# For additional information, please see the METplus Users Guide.
# https://metplus.readthedocs.io/en/latest/Users_Guide

###
# Processes to run
# https://metplus.readthedocs.io/en/latest/Users_Guide/systemconfiguration.html#process-list
###

PROCESS_LIST = GridStat, StatAnalysis


###
# Time Info
# LOOP_BY options are INIT, VALID, RETRO, and REALTIME
# If set to INIT or RETRO:
#   INIT_TIME_FMT, INIT_BEG, INIT_END, and INIT_INCREMENT must also be set
# If set to VALID or REALTIME:
#   VALID_TIME_FMT, VALID_BEG, VALID_END, and VALID_INCREMENT must also be set
# LEAD_SEQ is the list of forecast leads to process
# https://metplus.readthedocs.io/en/latest/Users_Guide/systemconfiguration.html#timing-control
###

LOOP_BY = VALID
VALID_TIME_FMT = %Y%m%d%H
VALID_BEG = 2017061300
VALID_END = 2017061306
VALID_INCREMENT = 21600

LEAD_SEQ = 24, 48


###
# File I/O
# https://metplus.readthedocs.io/en/latest/Users_Guide/systemconfiguration.html#directory-and-filename-template-info
###

GRID_STAT_CLIMO_MEAN_INPUT_DIR = {INPUT_BASE}/model_applications/medium_range/grid_to_grid/nwprod/fix
GRID_STAT_CLIMO_MEAN_INPUT_TEMPLATE = cmean_1d.1959{valid?fmt=%m%d}

FCST_GRID_STAT_INPUT_DIR = {INPUT_BASE}/model_applications/medium_range/grid_to_grid/gfs/fcst
FCST_GRID_STAT_INPUT_TEMPLATE = pgbf{lead?fmt=%.3H}.gfs.{init?fmt=%Y%m%d%H}

OBS_GRID_STAT_INPUT_DIR = {INPUT_BASE}/model_applications/medium_range/grid_to_grid/gfs/obs
OBS_GRID_STAT_INPUT_TEMPLATE = pgbanl.gfs.{valid?fmt=%Y%m%d%H}

GRID_STAT_OUTPUT_DIR = {OUTPUT_BASE}/met_out/{MODEL}/anom
GRID_STAT_OUTPUT_TEMPLATE = {valid?fmt=%Y%m%d%H%M}/grid_stat

MODEL1_STAT_ANALYSIS_LOOKIN_DIR = {OUTPUT_BASE}/met_out/{MODEL1}/anom/*/grid_stat

STAT_ANALYSIS_OUTPUT_DIR = {OUTPUT_BASE}/gather_by_date/stat_analysis/grid2grid/anom
MODEL1_STAT_ANALYSIS_DUMP_ROW_TEMPLATE = {fcst_valid_hour?fmt=%H}Z/{MODEL1}/{MODEL1}_{valid?fmt=%Y%m%d}.stat


###
# Field Info
# https://metplus.readthedocs.io/en/latest/Users_Guide/systemconfiguration.html#field-info
###

BOTH_VAR1_NAME = TMP
BOTH_VAR1_LEVELS = P850, P500, P250

BOTH_VAR2_NAME = UGRD
BOTH_VAR2_LEVELS = P850, P500, P250

BOTH_VAR3_NAME = VGRD
BOTH_VAR3_LEVELS = P850, P500, P250

BOTH_VAR4_NAME = PRMSL
BOTH_VAR4_LEVELS = Z0


###
# GridStat Settings (optional)
# https://metplus.readthedocs.io/en/latest/Users_Guide/wrappers.html#gridstat
###

MODEL = GFS
OBTYPE = ANLYS

GRID_STAT_GRID_WEIGHT_FLAG = COS_LAT

GRID_STAT_OUTPUT_PREFIX = {MODEL}_vs_{OBTYPE}

GRID_STAT_REGRID_TO_GRID = G002
GRID_STAT_REGRID_METHOD = BILIN
GRID_STAT_REGRID_WIDTH = 2

GRID_STAT_MASK_GRID = FULL
GRID_STAT_MASK_POLY = {INPUT_BASE}/model_applications/medium_range/poly/NHX.nc, {INPUT_BASE}/model_applications/medium_range/poly/SHX.nc, {INPUT_BASE}/model_applications/medium_range/poly/TRO.nc, {INPUT_BASE}/model_applications/medium_range/poly/PNA.nc

GRID_STAT_CLIMO_CDF_WRITE_BINS = False

GRID_STAT_OUTPUT_FLAG_SAL1L2 = STAT
GRID_STAT_OUTPUT_FLAG_VAL1L2 = STAT

GRID_STAT_NC_PAIRS_FLAG_LATLON = FALSE
GRID_STAT_NC_PAIRS_FLAG_RAW = FALSE
GRID_STAT_NC_PAIRS_FLAG_DIFF = FALSE
GRID_STAT_NC_PAIRS_FLAG_CLIMO = FALSE
GRID_STAT_NC_PAIRS_FLAG_APPLY_MASK = FALSE

GRID_STAT_CLIMO_MEAN_TIME_INTERP_METHOD = NEAREST

GRID_STAT_CLIMO_MEAN_REGRID_METHOD = BILIN
GRID_STAT_CLIMO_MEAN_REGRID_WIDTH = 2
GRID_STAT_CLIMO_MEAN_DAY_INTERVAL = 1

GRID_STAT_MET_CONFIG_OVERRIDES = climo_mean = fcst;


###
# StatAnalysis Settings
# https://metplus.readthedocs.io/en/latest/Users_Guide/wrappers.html#statanalysis
###

STAT_ANALYSIS_CONFIG_FILE = {PARM_BASE}/met_config/STATAnalysisConfig_wrapped

MODEL1 = GFS
MODEL1_OBTYPE = ANLYS

STAT_ANALYSIS_JOB_NAME = filter
STAT_ANALYSIS_JOB_ARGS = -dump_row [dump_row_file]

MODEL_LIST = {MODEL1}
DESC_LIST =
FCST_LEAD_LIST =
OBS_LEAD_LIST =
FCST_VALID_HOUR_LIST = 00, 06
FCST_INIT_HOUR_LIST = 00, 06
OBS_VALID_HOUR_LIST =
OBS_INIT_HOUR_LIST =
FCST_VAR_LIST =
OBS_VAR_LIST =
FCST_UNITS_LIST =
OBS_UNITS_LIST =
FCST_LEVEL_LIST =
OBS_LEVEL_LIST =
VX_MASK_LIST =
INTERP_MTHD_LIST =
INTERP_PNTS_LIST =
FCST_THRESH_LIST =
OBS_THRESH_LIST =
COV_THRESH_LIST =
ALPHA_LIST =
LINE_TYPE_LIST =

GROUP_LIST_ITEMS = FCST_INIT_HOUR_LIST
LOOP_LIST_ITEMS = FCST_VALID_HOUR_LIST, MODEL_LIST

MET Configuration

METplus sets environment variables based on user settings in the METplus configuration file. See How METplus controls MET config file settings for more details.

YOU SHOULD NOT SET ANY OF THESE ENVIRONMENT VARIABLES YOURSELF! THEY WILL BE OVERWRITTEN BY METPLUS WHEN IT CALLS THE MET TOOLS!

If there is a setting in the MET configuration file that is currently not supported by METplus you’d like to control, please refer to: Overriding Unsupported MET config file settings

GridStatConfig_wrapped

Note

See the GridStat MET Configuration section of the User’s Guide for more information on the environment variables used in the file below:

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
//
// Grid-Stat configuration file.
//
// For additional information, see the MET_BASE/config/README file.
//
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Output model name to be written
//
// model =
${METPLUS_MODEL}

//
// Output description to be written
// May be set separately in each "obs.field" entry
//
// desc =
${METPLUS_DESC}

//
// Output observation type to be written
//
// obtype =
${METPLUS_OBTYPE}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Verification grid
//
// regrid = {
${METPLUS_REGRID_DICT}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//censor_thresh =
${METPLUS_CENSOR_THRESH}
//censor_val =
${METPLUS_CENSOR_VAL}
cat_thresh  	 = [];
cnt_thresh  	 = [ NA ];
cnt_logic   	 = UNION;
wind_thresh 	 = [ NA ];
wind_logic  	 = UNION;
eclv_points      = 0.05;
//nc_pairs_var_name =
${METPLUS_NC_PAIRS_VAR_NAME}
nc_pairs_var_suffix = "";
//hss_ec_value =
${METPLUS_HSS_EC_VALUE}

rank_corr_flag   = FALSE;

//
// Forecast and observation fields to be verified
//
fcst = {
  ${METPLUS_FCST_FILE_TYPE}
  ${METPLUS_FCST_FIELD}
}
obs = {
  ${METPLUS_OBS_FILE_TYPE}
  ${METPLUS_OBS_FIELD}
}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Climatology mean data
//
//climo_mean = {
${METPLUS_CLIMO_MEAN_DICT}


//climo_stdev = {
${METPLUS_CLIMO_STDEV_DICT}

//
// May be set separately in each "obs.field" entry
//
//climo_cdf = {
${METPLUS_CLIMO_CDF_DICT}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Verification masking regions
//
// mask = {
${METPLUS_MASK_DICT}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Confidence interval settings
//
ci_alpha  = [ 0.05 ];

boot = {
   interval = PCTILE;
   rep_prop = 1.0;
   n_rep    = 0;
   rng      = "mt19937";
   seed     = "";
}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Data smoothing methods
//
//interp = {
${METPLUS_INTERP_DICT}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Neighborhood methods
//
nbrhd = {
   field      = BOTH;
   // shape =
   ${METPLUS_NBRHD_SHAPE}
   // width =
   ${METPLUS_NBRHD_WIDTH}
   // cov_thresh =
   ${METPLUS_NBRHD_COV_THRESH}
   vld_thresh = 1.0;
}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Fourier decomposition
// May be set separately in each "obs.field" entry
//
//fourier = {
${METPLUS_FOURIER_DICT}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Gradient statistics
// May be set separately in each "obs.field" entry
//
gradient = {
   dx = [ 1 ];
   dy = [ 1 ];
}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Distance Map statistics
// May be set separately in each "obs.field" entry
//
//distance_map = {
${METPLUS_DISTANCE_MAP_DICT}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Statistical output types
//
//output_flag = {
${METPLUS_OUTPUT_FLAG_DICT}

//
// NetCDF matched pairs output file
// May be set separately in each "obs.field" entry
//
// nc_pairs_flag = {
${METPLUS_NC_PAIRS_FLAG_DICT}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
// Threshold for SEEPS p1 (Probability of being dry)

//seeps_p1_thresh =
${METPLUS_SEEPS_P1_THRESH}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//grid_weight_flag =
${METPLUS_GRID_WEIGHT_FLAG}

tmp_dir = "${MET_TMP_DIR}";

// output_prefix =
${METPLUS_OUTPUT_PREFIX}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

${METPLUS_MET_CONFIG_OVERRIDES}

StatAnalysisConfig_wrapped

Note

See the GridStat MET Configuration section of the User’s Guide for more information on the environment variables used in the file below:

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
//
// STAT-Analysis configuration file.
//
// For additional information, see the MET_BASE/config/README file.
//
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Filtering input STAT lines by the contents of each column
//
${METPLUS_MODEL}
${METPLUS_DESC}

${METPLUS_FCST_LEAD}
${METPLUS_OBS_LEAD}

${METPLUS_FCST_VALID_BEG}
${METPLUS_FCST_VALID_END}
${METPLUS_FCST_VALID_HOUR}

${METPLUS_OBS_VALID_BEG}
${METPLUS_OBS_VALID_END}
${METPLUS_OBS_VALID_HOUR}

${METPLUS_FCST_INIT_BEG}
${METPLUS_FCST_INIT_END}
${METPLUS_FCST_INIT_HOUR}

${METPLUS_OBS_INIT_BEG}
${METPLUS_OBS_INIT_END}
${METPLUS_OBS_INIT_HOUR}

${METPLUS_FCST_VAR}
${METPLUS_OBS_VAR}

${METPLUS_FCST_UNITS}
${METPLUS_OBS_UNITS}

${METPLUS_FCST_LEVEL}
${METPLUS_OBS_LEVEL}

${METPLUS_OBTYPE}

${METPLUS_VX_MASK}

${METPLUS_INTERP_MTHD}

${METPLUS_INTERP_PNTS}

${METPLUS_FCST_THRESH}
${METPLUS_OBS_THRESH}
${METPLUS_COV_THRESH}

${METPLUS_ALPHA}

${METPLUS_LINE_TYPE}

column = [];

weight = [];

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Array of STAT-Analysis jobs to be performed on the filtered data
//
${METPLUS_JOBS}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Confidence interval settings
//
out_alpha = 0.05;

boot = {
   interval = PCTILE;
   rep_prop = 1.0;
   n_rep    = 0;
   rng      = "mt19937";
   seed     = "";
}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// WMO mean computation logic
//
wmo_sqrt_stats   = [ "CNT:FSTDEV",  "CNT:OSTDEV",  "CNT:ESTDEV",
                     "CNT:RMSE",    "CNT:RMSFA",   "CNT:RMSOA",
                     "VCNT:FS_RMS", "VCNT:OS_RMS", "VCNT:RMSVE",
                     "VCNT:FSTDEV", "VCNT:OSTDEV" ];

wmo_fisher_stats = [ "CNT:PR_CORR", "CNT:SP_CORR",
                     "CNT:KT_CORR", "CNT:ANOM_CORR" ];

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//hss_ec_value =
${METPLUS_HSS_EC_VALUE}
rank_corr_flag = FALSE;
vif_flag       = FALSE;

tmp_dir = "${MET_TMP_DIR}";

//version        = "V10.0";

${METPLUS_MET_CONFIG_OVERRIDES}

Running METplus

This use case can be run two ways:

  1. Passing in GridStat_fcstGFS_obsGFS_climoNCEP_MultiField.conf then a user-specific system configuration file:

    run_metplus.py -c /path/to/METplus/parm/use_cases/model_applications/medium_range/GridStat_fcstGFS_obsGFS_climoNCEP_MultiField.conf -c /path/to/user_system.conf
    
  2. Modifying the configurations in parm/metplus_config, then passing in GridStat_fcstGFS_obsGFS_climoNCEP_MultiField.conf:

    run_metplus.py -c /path/to/METplus/parm/use_cases/model_applications/medium_range/GridStat_fcstGFS_obsGFS_climoNCEP_MultiField.conf
    

The former method is recommended. Whether you add them to a user-specific configuration file or modify the metplus_config files, the following variables must be set correctly:

  • INPUT_BASE - Path to directory where sample data tarballs are unpacked (See Datasets section to obtain tarballs). This is not required to run METplus, but it is required to run the examples in parm/use_cases

  • OUTPUT_BASE - Path where METplus output will be written. This must be in a location where you have write permissions

  • MET_INSTALL_DIR - Path to location where MET is installed locally

Example User Configuration File:

[dir]
INPUT_BASE = /path/to/sample/input/data
OUTPUT_BASE = /path/to/output/dir
MET_INSTALL_DIR = /path/to/met-X.Y

NOTE: All of these items must be found under the [dir] section.

Expected Output

A successful run will output the following both to the screen and to the logfile:

INFO: METplus has successfully finished running.

Refer to the value set for OUTPUT_BASE to find where the output data was generated. Output for this use case will be found in gather_by_date/stat_analysis/grid2grid/anom (relative to OUTPUT_BASE) and will contain the following files:

  • 00Z/GFS/GFS_20170613.stat

  • 06Z/GFS/GFS_20170613.stat

Keywords

Note

  • GridStatToolUseCase

  • MediumRangeAppUseCase

  • StatAnalysisToolUseCase

  • GRIBFileUseCase

  • NOAAEMCOrgUseCase

  • RegriddinginTool

  • ClimatologyUseCase

Navigate to the METplus Quick Search for Use Cases page to discover other similar use cases.

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