5.2.8.1. MTD: 6hr QPF Use Case

model_applications/precipitation/MTD_fcstHRRR-TLE _obsMRMS.conf

Scientific Objective

This use case demonstrates the evaluation of an ensemble mean field from a prototype ensemble post-processing technique for time-lagged ensembles (HRRR-TLE). MTD is used to provide useful object attributes and diagnostics on aggregated over a time series. This non-traditional approach provides alternative information and diagnostics to inform model development.

Datasets

  • Forecast dataset: HRRR-TLE forecasts in GRIB2

  • Observation dataset: Multi Radar Multi Sensor (MRMS)

METplus Components

This use case runs MTD (MODE Time Domain) over multiple forecast leads and compares them to the observational data set.

METplus Workflow

The following tools are used for each run time:

MTD

This example loops by valid time. For each valid time it will run once, processing forecast leads 1, 2, and 3. There is only one valid time in this example, so the following will be run:

Run times:

Valid: 2017-05-10_03Z
Forecast leads: 1, 2, 3

METplus Configuration

METplus first loads all of the configuration files found in parm/metplus_config, then it loads any configuration files passed to METplus via the command line with the -c option, i.e. -c parm/use_cases/model_applications/precipitation/MTD_fcstHRRR-TLE_obsMRMS.conf

# PHPT vs. QPE Configurations

[config]
# if false, loop by VALID time
LOOP_BY = INIT

# Format of INIT_BEG and INIT_END
INIT_TIME_FMT = %Y%m%d%H

# Start time for METplus run
INIT_BEG=2017051003

# End time for METplus run
INIT_END=2017051003

# Increment between METplus runs in seconds. Must be >= 60
INIT_INCREMENT=43200

# list of forecast leads to process
LEAD_SEQ = 1,2,3


# Options are times, processes
# times = run all items in the PROCESS_LIST for a single initialization
# time, then repeat until all times have been evaluated.
# processes = run each item in the PROCESS_LIST for all times
#   specified, then repeat for the next item in the PROCESS_LIST.
LOOP_ORDER = times

# List of applications to run
PROCESS_LIST = MTD

# MODE TIME DOMAIN Configuration

# if true, only process a single data set with MTD
MTD_SINGLE_RUN = False

# Data to process in single mode
# FCST and OBS are valid options
MTD_SINGLE_DATA_SRC = OBS

# forecast convolution radius list
FCST_MTD_CONV_RADIUS = 0

# forecast convolution threshold list
FCST_MTD_CONV_THRESH = >=10

# observation convolution radius list
OBS_MTD_CONV_RADIUS = 15

# observation convolution threshold list
OBS_MTD_CONV_THRESH = >=12.7

# list of variables to compare
FCST_VAR1_NAME = APCP
FCST_VAR1_LEVELS = A01
FCST_VAR1_THRESH = gt12.7

OBS_VAR1_NAME = P01M_NONE
OBS_VAR1_LEVELS = "(0,*,*)"
OBS_VAR1_THRESH = gt12.7

# description of data to be processed
# used in output file path
MODEL = PHPT
OBTYPE = QPE

# location of MODE Time Domain MET config file
MTD_CONFIG_FILE = {CONFIG_DIR}/MTDConfig_wrapped

MTD_REGRID_TO_GRID = OBS

# PHPT Model Options:
FCST_IS_PROB = true

FCST_PROB_IN_GRIB_PDS = true

# QPE Observation Data Parameters
#  none needed

[dir]
# location of configuration files used by MET applications
CONFIG_DIR={PARM_BASE}/met_config

# input and output data directories for each application in PROCESS_LIST
FCST_MTD_INPUT_DIR = {INPUT_BASE}/model_applications/precipitation/PHPT
OBS_MTD_INPUT_DIR = {INPUT_BASE}/model_applications/precipitation/QPE_Data

MTD_OUTPUT_DIR = {OUTPUT_BASE}/model_applications/precipitation/MTD_fcstHRRR-TLE_obsMRMS

MTD_OUTPUT_PREFIX = PROB_{MODEL}_{CURRENT_FCST_NAME}_vs_{OBTYPE}_{CURRENT_OBS_NAME}_A{CURRENT_FCST_LEVEL}

[filename_templates]
# format of filenames

# PHPT
FCST_MTD_INPUT_TEMPLATE= {init?fmt=%Y%m%d}/{init?fmt=%Y%m%d}_i{init?fmt=%H}_f{lead?fmt=%HHH}_HRRRTLE_PHPT.grb2

# QPE
OBS_MTD_INPUT_TEMPLATE = {valid?fmt=%Y%m%d}/qpe_{valid?fmt=%Y%m%d%H}.nc

MTD_OUTPUT_TEMPLATE = {init?fmt=%Y%m%d%H%M}

MET Configuration

METplus sets environment variables based on user settings in the METplus configuration file. See How METplus controls MET config file settings for more details.

YOU SHOULD NOT SET ANY OF THESE ENVIRONMENT VARIABLES YOURSELF! THEY WILL BE OVERWRITTEN BY METPLUS WHEN IT CALLS THE MET TOOLS!

If there is a setting in the MET configuration file that is currently not supported by METplus you’d like to control, please refer to: Overriding Unsupported MET config file settings

Note

See the MTD MET Configuration section of the User’s Guide for more information on the environment variables used in the file below:

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
//
// MODE Time Domain configuration file.
//
// For additional information, see the MET_BASE/config/README file.
//
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

   //
   // Output model name to be written
   //

${METPLUS_MODEL}

   //
   // Output description to be written
   //

${METPLUS_DESC}

   //
   // Output observation type to be written
   //

${METPLUS_OBTYPE}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

   //
   //  Verification grid
   //  May be set separately in each "field" entry
   //
${METPLUS_REGRID_DICT}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

   //
   // Approximate grid resolution (km)
   //

grid_res = 4;

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

   //
   // Forecast and observation fields to be verified
   //

fcst = {

   ${METPLUS_FCST_FILE_TYPE}

   ${METPLUS_FCST_FIELD}

   censor_thresh     = [];
   censor_val        = [];
   conv_time_window  = { beg = -1; end = 1; };
   ${METPLUS_FCST_CONV_RADIUS}
   ${METPLUS_FCST_CONV_THRESH}

}

obs = {

   ${METPLUS_OBS_FILE_TYPE}

   ${METPLUS_OBS_FIELD}

   censor_thresh     = [];
   censor_val        = [];
   conv_time_window  = { beg = -1; end = 1; };
   ${METPLUS_OBS_CONV_RADIUS}
   ${METPLUS_OBS_CONV_THRESH}
}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

   //
   // Intensity percentile value to be written
   //

inten_perc_value = 99;

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

   //
   //  Throw away 3D objects with volumes smaller than this
   //
${METPLUS_MIN_VOLUME}


////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

   //
   // Fuzzy engine weights
   //

weight = {

   space_centroid_dist  = 1.0;

   time_centroid_delta  = 1.0;

   speed_delta          = 1.0;

   direction_diff       = 1.0;

   volume_ratio         = 1.0;

   axis_angle_diff      = 1.0;

   start_time_delta     = 1.0;

   end_time_delta       = 1.0;

}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

   //
   // Fuzzy engine interest functions
   //

interest_function = {

   space_centroid_dist = (

      (   0.0, 1.0 )
      (  50.0, 0.5 )
      ( 100.0, 0.0 )

   );

   time_centroid_delta = (

      ( -3.0, 0.0 )
      ( -2.0, 0.5 )
      ( -1.0, 0.8 )
      (  0.0, 1.0 )
      (  1.0, 0.8 )
      (  2.0, 0.5 )
      (  3.0, 0.0 )

   );

   speed_delta = (

      ( -10.0, 0.0 )
      (  -5.0, 0.5 )
      (   0.0, 1.0 )
      (   5.0, 0.5 )
      (  10.0, 0.0 )

   );

   direction_diff = (

      (   0.0, 1.0 )
      (  90.0, 0.0 )
      ( 180.0, 0.0 )

   );

   volume_ratio = (

      (  0.0, 0.0 )
      (  0.5, 0.5 )
      (  1.0, 1.0 )
      (  1.5, 0.5 )
      (  2.0, 0.0 )

   );

   axis_angle_diff = (

      (  0.0, 1.0 )
      ( 30.0, 1.0 )
      ( 90.0, 0.0 )

   );

   start_time_delta = (

      ( -5.0, 0.0 )
      ( -3.0, 0.5 )
      (  0.0, 1.0 )
      (  3.0, 0.5 )
      (  5.0, 0.0 )

   );

   end_time_delta = (

      ( -5.0, 0.0 )
      ( -3.0, 0.5 )
      (  0.0, 1.0 )
      (  3.0, 0.5 )
      (  5.0, 0.0 )

   );

}   //  interest functions


////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

   //
   // Total interest threshold for determining matches
   //

total_interest_thresh = 0.7;


////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

   //
   // Output flags
   //

nc_output = {

   latlon       = true;
   raw          = true;
   object_id    = true;
   cluster_id   = true;

}

txt_output = {

   attributes_2d   = true;
   attributes_3d   = true;

}


////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

${METPLUS_OUTPUT_PREFIX}
//version        = "V9.0";

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

${METPLUS_MET_CONFIG_OVERRIDES}

Running METplus

This use case can be run two ways:

  1. Passing in MTD_fcstHRRR-TLE_obsMRMS.conf then a user-specific system configuration file:

    run_metplus.py -c /path/to/METplus/parm/use_cases/model_applications/precipitation/MTD_fcstHRRR-TLE_obsMRMS.conf -c /path/to/user_system.conf
    
  2. Modifying the configurations in parm/metplus_config, then passing in MTD_fcstHRRR-TLE_obsMRMS.conf:

    run_metplus.py -c /path/to/METplus/parm/use_cases/model_applications/precipitation/MTD_fcstHRRR-TLE_obsMRMS.conf
    

The former method is recommended. Whether you add them to a user-specific configuration file or modify the metplus_config files, the following variables must be set correctly:

  • INPUT_BASE - Path to directory where sample data tarballs are unpacked (See Datasets section to obtain tarballs). This is not required to run METplus, but it is required to run the examples in parm/use_cases

  • OUTPUT_BASE - Path where METplus output will be written. This must be in a location where you have write permissions

  • MET_INSTALL_DIR - Path to location where MET is installed locally

Example User Configuration File:

[dir]
INPUT_BASE = /path/to/sample/input/data
OUTPUT_BASE = /path/to/output/dir
MET_INSTALL_DIR = /path/to/met-X.Y

NOTE: All of these items must be found under the [dir] section.

Expected Output

A successful run will output the following both to the screen and to the logfile:

INFO: METplus has successfully finished running.

Refer to the value set for OUTPUT_BASE to find where the output data was generated. Output for this use case will be found in model_applications/precipitation/MTD_fcstHRRR-TLE_obsMRMS (relative to OUTPUT_BASE) and will contain the following files:

  • mtd_20170510_040000V_2d.txt

  • mtd_20170510_040000V_3d_single_simple.txt

  • mtd_20170510_040000V_obj.nc

Keywords

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